Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.045064 0.049009 0.053001 0.057337 0.061905 0.066569 0.071684
2025-07-20 0.038559 0.044322 0.050363 0.057142 0.064509 0.072251 0.080974
2025-07-27 0.034241 0.041339 0.049010 0.057860 0.067727 0.078335 0.090547
2025-08-03 0.031224 0.039387 0.048453 0.059162 0.071361 0.084725 0.100375
2025-08-10 0.026789 0.035398 0.045232 0.057132 0.070980 0.086433 0.104827
2025-08-17 0.023893 0.032935 0.043527 0.056618 0.072133 0.089717 0.110934
2025-08-24 0.021401 0.030736 0.041941 0.056068 0.073094 0.092664 0.116567
2025-08-31 0.020309 0.030166 0.042233 0.057689 0.076563 0.098495 0.125532
2025-09-07 0.019104 0.029346 0.042130 0.058757 0.079319 0.103458 0.133479
2025-09-14 0.017859 0.028374 0.041755 0.059418 0.081530 0.107745 0.140616
2025-09-21 0.016522 0.027180 0.041012 0.059549 0.083034 0.111147 0.146682
2025-09-28 0.015918 0.026939 0.041469 0.061175 0.086378 0.116774 0.155433
2025-10-05 0.014474 0.025459 0.040255 0.060642 0.087042 0.119190 0.160407
2025-10-12 0.013397 0.024432 0.039592 0.060783 0.088532 0.122617 0.166625
2025-10-19 0.012679 0.023879 0.039536 0.061697 0.090994 0.127244 0.174328
2025-10-26 0.012191 0.023636 0.039885 0.063136 0.094131 0.132727 0.183114
2025-11-02 0.010640 0.021651 0.037689 0.061052 0.092613 0.132313 0.184557
2025-11-09 0.009691 0.020539 0.036678 0.060532 0.093103 0.134402 0.189099
2025-11-16 0.008808 0.019466 0.035669 0.059964 0.093491 0.136335 0.193428
2025-11-23 0.008593 0.019489 0.036274 0.061664 0.096921 0.142188 0.202729
2025-11-30 0.008243 0.019257 0.036478 0.062782 0.099568 0.147039 0.210784
2025-12-07 0.007811 0.018851 0.036395 0.063475 0.101629 0.151135 0.217893
2025-12-14 0.007279 0.018227 0.035943 0.063612 0.102915 0.154216 0.223713